Latest News
04/16/2024, 4:39 am EDT
The Nino34 SSTA region has cooled a whopping 0.69C during the past 2 weeks as El Nino 2023-24 is about to end. The record warm global ocean surface of the past 12 months is unique and causes uncertainty regarding the speed of development and intensity of La Nina for later in 2024.
04/15/2024, 2:48 pm EDT
The Climate Impact Company summer 2024 outlook valid for May through September is issued. The forecast is based on a transition from an El Nino to La Nina climate, warming of already very warm mid-latitude oceans, optimum climate normal, and anticipated drought zones.
04/14/2024, 1:58 pm EDT
Today’s 15-day precipitation forecast is produced using the new AIFS (artificial intelligence forecast system) generated by ECMWF. This is the first precipitation forecast generated by artificial intelligence made available on an experimental basis every 6 hours and available through CWG/Storm Vista.
04/11/2024, 4:14 pm EDT
Q1 of 2024 was warmer than normal in each of the 48 contiguous states including MUCH ABOVE normal for the Upper Midwest to Mid-Atlantic to New England States. Six states finished the 3-month period with their 2nd warmest Q1 on record, including Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, New York, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Nationally, Q1 was 5th warmest on record.
04/11/2024, 9:16 am EDT
The Australia Bureau of Meteorology (ABOM) announced that the Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) is forecast to return to the positive phase in May lasting several months into early Q4/2024. ABOM identifies +IOD years (since 1950) as 1961, 1963, 1967, 1972, 1994, 1997, 2006, 2015, 2019, and 2023. In each of these analog years (except for 1961 and 1967) El Nino was present. Of the 10 analog years, 5 featured strong El Nino.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Latest NOAA/CPC Long-lead Climate Outlooks; Hot Risk Most of U.S. Summertime
Meteorological summer (JUN/JUL/AUG) 2024 remains forecast warmer than normal for all but North Dakota with highest hot weather probability likely from the Interior Northwest to Western Texas and in New England. The precipitation outlook is biased wet in the East and Southeast U.S. while West-central States including the western Great Plains are drier than normal.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
MJO, NAWH, and IOD Contribute to Southern Ural Region/Northern Kazakhstan to Dubai Flooding
Extreme weather events or climate regimes are often blamed on climate change (or global warming). However, rarely are the weather/climate synoptics causing the event identified and reviewed. An attempt to identify the catalyst to recent historic flooding in the Southern Ural region of Russia to Northern Kazakhstan and adding Dubia well to the south is provided.