Latest News
07/22/2026, 5:19 am EDT
Soil moisture anomalies analysis reveals a large dry-to-drought scenario across Europe. The core of the drought is in France and Western Romania. The 10-day rainfall anomaly outlook by ECMWF indicates widespread drier than normal conditions. Week 2-4 forecasts rebuild Central Europe heat intensifying drought.
07/20/2026, 5:47 am EDT
A classic El Nino style climate pattern emerges in late July...excessive rainfall in Southeast Brazil while areas to the north are arid. Included is ongoing unusual warmth for central continent.
07/19/2026, 2:02 pm EDT
Madden Julian oscillation (MJO) is in a favorable location to produce abundant convective rains in the U.S. The NOAA/WPC 5-day quantitative precipitation forecast identifies the excessive rainfall associated with T.D. 2 in the Northeast Gulf, East Coast heavy rains, and a wet Southwest U.S. monsoon pattern.
07/17/2026, 1:47 pm EDT
1997 and 2015 produced rapidly strengthening intense El Nino climate patterns. In the U.S., the temperature bias during August is cool across most of the eastern half of the U.S. while dryness dominates the Gulf States and Mid-Atlantic region. The 2015 El Nino weights twice due to the much warmer global oceans compared to 1997. In 2026, global oceans are much warmer than 2015 lending a warm bias to the cool analog.
07/16/2026, 4:34 am EDT
Relative Nino34 SSTA forecasts using the NOAA CFS V2, ECMWF, and POAMA outlooks each indicate a record strength El Nino for later this year easily surpassing the R-N34 SSTA of +2.41 observed in November 2015.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Queensland and Western Australia Dry-to-Drought Development
July 2026 has featured patchy rainfall across Australia, wettest Interior Southeast Australia. Dry soils identifying potential developing drought are located across northwest continent and Southern Queensland/Northern New South Wales.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Sharp Regional SSTA Patterns Guide The U.S. Week 2-4 Outlook
Leading into August, sharp regional SSTA conditions support a semi-permanent trough near and southwestward the North Atlantic warm hole (NAWH) and south-southeast from the Gulf of Alaska Cool Pool. Extending northeastward across the Southwest U.S. toward Hudson Bay from the immense marine heatwave (MHW) off the Southwest Coast of North America is a semi-permanent high-pressure ridge.